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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rhode Island v Hartford Athletic: numbers & prediction

US Open Cup · USA · Centreville Bank Stadium
Rhode Island 43%Draw 26%Hartford Athletic 31% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.14
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Rhode Island v Hartford Athletic in the US Open Cup, played at Centreville Bank Stadium.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brooklyn, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 1.4 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 43%, draw 26%, Hartford Athletic 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rhode Island43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Hartford Athletic31%fair 3.25 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.43Rhode Island xG
1.14Hartford Athletic xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.4 – 1.1 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✓43%2.322.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.35–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.91 ▲
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapHartford Athletic +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.08
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✓26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Rhode Island – last 2

LW
29 Mar@ Miami FC1–2L
18 Marvs Faialense4–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Hartford Athletic – last 4

WWDW
22 Mar@ Brooklyn2–1W
19 Mar@ FC Motown2–0W
11 Mar@ Birmingham Legion0–0D
8 Mar@ Sporting JAX3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Hartford Athletic.

Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head page →

More US Open Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?

On our numbers Rhode Island have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hartford Athletic 31%.

How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?

Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic?

Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.