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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive: numbers & prediction

US Open Cup · USA · Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

New Mexico United

LWL
0–4
FT

El Paso Locomotive

WWWD
New Mexico United 44%Draw 24%El Paso Locomotive 31% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.31
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Thursday 2 April: New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive in the US Open Cup, played at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

Current form

New Mexico United, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Antonio, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

El Paso Locomotive, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sacramento Republic, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for New Mexico United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.7 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 44%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 2–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New Mexico United44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
El Paso Locomotive31%fair 3.20 · @2.90
3.04Expected goals
1.72New Mexico United xG
1.31El Paso Locomotive xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.7 – 1.3 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew Mexico United to win ✗44%2.252.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betNew Mexico United (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapEl Paso Locomotive +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreNew Mexico United to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

New Mexico United – last 3

LWL
22 Mar@ San Antonio0–1L
19 Marvs Cruizers3–2W
15 Mar@ Oakland Roots1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

El Paso Locomotive – last 4

WWWD
29 Mar@ Sacramento Republic2–1W
20 Mar@ Laredo Heat2–0W
15 Mar@ Monterey Bay3–0W
8 Marvs Colorado Springs2–2D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between New Mexico United and El Paso Locomotive.

New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head page →

More US Open Cup predictions

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FT Lexington0 Louisville City2 137%3.00X23%3.50240%2.00 1.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.30 ✓
FT Rhode Island2 Hartford Athletic0 143%2.10X26%3.25231%3.00 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
– Vermont Green0 Westchester SC0 Pens 3–4 153%2.55X19%3.25228%2.40 2.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✗
FT Flint City Bucks0 Detroit City1 131%4.33X25%3.50244%1.67 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
– Colorado Springs1 Spokane Velocity1 Pens 3–2 157%1.62X25%3.55219%4.60 1.8–1.0xG 1Colorado Springs to win 57%@1.62 ✗
FT San Antonio0 FC Tulsa0 AET 0–1 140%2.05X28%3.20232%3.10 1.7–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.90 ✗
FT Orange County SC1 Phoenix Rising1 AET 1–2 141%2.00X24%3.25235%3.20 1.6–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.80 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?

On our numbers New Mexico United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 31%.

How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our predicted score is New Mexico United 2–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?

New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.