Value bet: Phoenix Rising to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrange County SC to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 2 April the US Open Cup brings Orange County SC against Phoenix Rising at Championship Soccer Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Orange County SC, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oakland Roots, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Tulsa, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Orange County SC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Phoenix Rising.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Phoenix Rising 1–1 Orange County SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orange County SC 1.6 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orange County SC 41%, draw 24%, Phoenix Rising 35%.
Price worth noting: Phoenix Rising to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orange County SC 2–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orange County SC41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Phoenix Rising35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
3.19Expected goals
1.61Orange County SC xG
1.58Phoenix Rising xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.6 – 1.6 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Phoenix Rising 35%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 2–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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