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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vasco DA Gama v Paysandu: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio São Januário

Vasco DA Gama

WWWWL
2–2
FT

Paysandu

WWLWL
Vasco DA Gama 67%Draw 20%Paysandu 13% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.87
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✗67% · @1.28
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Vasco DA Gama v Paysandu in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio São Januário.

Current form

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Paranaense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Paysandu, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Águia de Marabá, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Paysandu 0–2 Vasco DA Gama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 2.1 xG, Paysandu 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 67%, draw 20%, Paysandu 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.35.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama67%fair 1.49 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @5.00
Paysandu13%fair 7.70 · @11.00
2.98Expected goals
2.11Vasco DA Gama xG
0.87Paysandu xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 2.1 – 0.9 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVasco DA Gama to win ✗67%1.491.28
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓87%1.151.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.35 ▲
Draw no betVasco DA Gama (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.481.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.12
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultVasco DA Gama ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WWWWLD
11 Mayvs Atletico Paranaense1–0W
6 May@ A. Italiano2–1W
30 Aprvs Olimpia3–0W
22 Apr@ Paysandu2–0W
15 Aprvs A. Italiano1–2L
7 Apr@ Barracas Central0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Paysandu – last 6

WWLWLW
6 May@ Águia de Marabá5–1W
29 Apr@ Trem3–0W
22 Aprvs Vasco DA Gama0–2L
15 Aprvs Independência2–1W
10 Apr@ Nacional AM0–7L
5 Apr@ Volta Redonda1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Paysandu v Vasco DA Gama0–2
Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Fluminense2 Operario-PR1 162%1.39X22%4.30216%8.40 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Cruzeiro1 Goias0 164%1.39X22%4.33214%8.20 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✗
FT Juventude3 Sao Paulo1 136%3.60X28%3.20236%2.08 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Coritiba0 Santos2 131%2.55X27%2.90242%3.00 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paysandu 13%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?

Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.