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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Coritiba v Santos: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba

DDDWW
0–2
FT

Santos

DDDDW
Coritiba 31%Draw 27%Santos 42% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.45
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Santos to win @ 3.00 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSantos to win ✓42% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.78

Coritiba vs Santos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santos travel to face Coritiba on Wednesday 13 May in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.

Current form

Coritiba, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Santos, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Santos 0–0 Coritiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.1 xG, Santos 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 31%, draw 27%, Santos 42%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Santos to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Santos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coritiba31%fair 3.27 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.90
Santos42%fair 2.38 · @3.00
2.54Expected goals
1.09Coritiba xG
1.45Santos xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Coritiba 1.1 – 1.5 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantos to win ✓42%2.383.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.85
Draw no betSantos (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapCoritiba +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.06
First team to scoreSantos to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santos / FT Santos ✓27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.78–

Recent results

Coritiba – last 6

DDDWWL
22 Apr@ Santos0–0D
5 Aprvs Fluminense1–1D
2 Aprvs Vasco DA Gama1–1D
19 Mar@ Mirassol1–0W
12 Mar@ Corinthians2–0W
25 Febvs Sao Paulo0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Santos – last 6

DDDDWL
6 May@ Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
28 Apr@ San Lorenzo1–1D
22 Aprvs Coritiba0–0D
15 Aprvs Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
12 Aprvs Atletico-MG1–0W
8 Apr@ Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Santos v Coritiba0–0
Coritiba vs Santos head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Fluminense2 Operario-PR1 162%1.39X22%4.30216%8.40 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Cruzeiro1 Goias0 164%1.39X22%4.33214%8.20 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✗
FT Vasco DA Gama2 Paysandu2 167%1.28X20%5.00213%11.00 2.1–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Juventude3 Sao Paulo1 136%3.60X28%3.20236%2.08 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Santos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Coritiba vs Santos?

On our numbers Coritiba have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santos 42%.

How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Santos?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Santos?

Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Coritiba vs Santos?

Coritiba vs Santos (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.