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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cruzeiro v Goias: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro

WDLWD
1–0
FT

Goias

LDWDW
Cruzeiro 64%Draw 22%Goias 14% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.87
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 54% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCruzeiro to win ✓64% · @1.39
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Cruzeiro vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Cruzeiro v Goias in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Governador Magalhães Pinto.

Current form

Cruzeiro, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bahia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Goias, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Fortaleza EC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Goias 2–2 Cruzeiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 1.9 xG, Goias 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 64%, draw 22%, Goias 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.45.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 2–0 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cruzeiro64%fair 1.57 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.33
Goias14%fair 6.98 · @8.20
2.75Expected goals
1.88Cruzeiro xG
0.87Goias xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.9 – 0.9 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruzeiro to win ✓64%1.571.39
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓86%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.45 ▲
Draw no betCruzeiro (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapCruzeiro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreCruzeiro to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultCruzeiro ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Cruzeiro – last 6

WDLWDW
10 May@ Bahia2–1W
7 May@ U. Catolica0–0D
3 Mayvs Atletico-MG1–3L
29 Aprvs Boca Juniors1–0W
22 Apr@ Goias2–2D
19 Aprvs Gremio2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Goias – last 6

LDWDWD
3 May@ Fortaleza EC1–4L
22 Aprvs Cruzeiro2–2D
7 Aprvs Criciuma1–0W
1 Apr@ Londrina2–2D
19 Mar@ Maringá1–0W
15 Marvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Goias v Cruzeiro2–2
Cruzeiro vs Goias head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Fluminense2 Operario-PR1 162%1.39X22%4.30216%8.40 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Vasco DA Gama2 Paysandu2 167%1.28X20%5.00213%11.00 2.1–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Juventude3 Sao Paulo1 136%3.60X28%3.20236%2.08 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Coritiba0 Santos2 131%2.55X27%2.90242%3.00 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Goias?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Goias?

On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Goias 14%.

How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Goias?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Goias?

Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cruzeiro vs Goias?

Cruzeiro vs Goias (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.