Juventude 36%Draw 28%Sao Paulo 36%Expected goals 1.24 – 1.04
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.60 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSao Paulo to win ✗36% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.61
Juventude vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventude welcome Sao Paulo to Estádio Alfredo Jaconi for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Wednesday 13 May (23:00 WAT).
Current form
Juventude, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Criciuma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sao Paulo, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with O'Higgins, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sao Paulo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Juventude.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Sao Paulo 1–0 Juventude.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.2 xG, Sao Paulo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 36%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Juventude to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–1 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventude36%fair 2.78 · @3.60
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
Sao Paulo36%fair 2.77 · @2.08
2.28Expected goals
1.24Juventude xG
1.04Sao Paulo xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.2 – 1.0 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Juventude have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sao Paulo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
Juventude vs Sao Paulo (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fluminense2
Operario-PR1
Cruzeiro1
Goias0
Vasco DA Gama2
Paysandu2
Coritiba0
Santos2