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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Goianiense v Atletico Paranaense: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Antônio Accioly

Atletico Goianiense

LDDWW
0–0
–Pens 1–3

Atletico Paranaense

LDDLW
Atletico Goianiense 39%Draw 27%Atletico Paranaense 35% Expected goals 1.03 – 0.86
83%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗39% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.44

Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Atletico Goianiense v Atletico Paranaense in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio Antônio Accioly.

Current form

Atletico Goianiense, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gama, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico Paranaense, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Atletico Goianiense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.0 xG, Atletico Paranaense 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 39%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Goianiense39%fair 2.59 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense35%fair 2.89 · @2.28
1.90Expected goals
1.03Atletico Goianiense xG
0.86Atletico Paranaense xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.0 – 0.9 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗39%2.593.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.95
Draw no betAtletico Goianiense (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapAtletico Paranaense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.631.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.06
First team to scoreAtletico Goianiense to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.44–

Recent results

Atletico Goianiense – last 6

LDDWWL
29 Aprvs Gama1–2L
24 Apr@ Atletico Paranaense0–0D
16 Apr@ Tocantinópolis0–0D
13 Aprvs Londrina2–1W
8 Aprvs Cuiaba1–0W
5 Apr@ Vila Nova1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico Paranaense – last 6

LDDLWW
11 May@ Vasco DA Gama0–1L
3 Mayvs Gremio0–0D
24 Aprvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
2 Apr@ Bahia0–3L
29 Marvs Botafogo4–1W
18 Marvs Cruzeiro2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Atletico Paranaense v Atletico Goianiense0–0
Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Mirassol2 RB Bragantino1 137%2.32X28%3.10235%3.15 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Remo2 Bahia1 136%2.82X25%3.50239%2.32 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Jacuipense1 Palmeiras4 112%11.50X18%5.80270%1.23 0.6–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
– Ceara2 Atletico-MG1 Pens 2–4 131%2.82X28%3.00241%2.60 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Chapecoense-sc2 Botafogo0 128%3.30X27%3.20245%2.20 0.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Confiança0 Gremio3 117%5.40X27%3.70256%1.62 0.7–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Corinthians1 Barra0 163%1.22X22%5.60216%14.50 1.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Paranaense 35%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.