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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santos v Coritiba: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos

DWLWL
0–0
FT

Coritiba

DDWWL
Santos 60%Draw 24%Coritiba 16% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.85
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSantos to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceSantos or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Santos vs Coritiba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santos welcome Coritiba to Estádio Urbano Caldeira for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Wednesday 22 April (23:30 WAT).

Current form

Santos, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Coritiba, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fluminense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.8 xG, Coritiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 60%, draw 24%, Coritiba 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Santos or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–0 Coritiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santos60%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Coritiba16%fair 6.09 · @5.00
2.68Expected goals
1.83Santos xG
0.85Coritiba xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Santos 1.8 – 0.8 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantos to win ✗60%1.681.70
Double chanceSantos or draw ✓84%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betSantos (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapSantos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.401.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreSantos to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultSantos ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santos / FT Santos ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Santos – last 6

DWLWLD
15 Aprvs Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
12 Aprvs Atletico-MG1–0W
8 Apr@ Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
2 Aprvs Remo2–0W
19 Marvs Internacional1–2L
15 Marvs Corinthians1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Coritiba – last 5

DDWWL
5 Aprvs Fluminense1–1D
2 Aprvs Vasco DA Gama1–1D
19 Mar@ Mirassol1–0W
12 Mar@ Corinthians2–0W
25 Febvs Sao Paulo0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santos and Coritiba.

Santos vs Coritiba head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Paysandu0 Vasco DA Gama2 122%4.10X26%3.35252%1.90 1.3–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.36 ✓
FT Barra0 Corinthians1 127%4.60X26%3.35248%1.80 0.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Goias2 Cruzeiro2 131%3.35X28%3.05241%2.26 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Bahia1 Remo3 161%1.41X22%4.35217%7.70 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santos vs Coritiba?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Santos vs Coritiba?

On our numbers Santos have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coritiba 16%.

How many goals will there be in Santos vs Coritiba?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santos vs Coritiba?

Our predicted score is Santos 1–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Santos vs Coritiba?

Santos vs Coritiba (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.