Wednesday 11 November 2026 5 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paysandu v Vasco DA Gama: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Mangueirão

Paysandu

WLWLW
0–2
FT

Vasco DA Gama

LDLDW
Paysandu 22%Draw 26%Vasco DA Gama 52% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.96
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓52% · @1.90
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vasco DA Gama travel to face Paysandu on Wednesday 22 April in the Copa Do Brasil, with Mangueirão the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Paysandu, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Independência, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to A. Italiano, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paysandu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Vasco DA Gama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.3 xG, Vasco DA Gama 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 22%, draw 26%, Vasco DA Gama 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vasco DA Gama or draw (78%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paysandu22%fair 4.60 · @4.10
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Vasco DA Gama52%fair 1.92 · @1.90
3.21Expected goals
1.25Paysandu xG
1.96Vasco DA Gama xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 2.0 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVasco DA Gama to win ✓52%1.921.90
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.85
Draw no betVasco DA Gama (draw no bet) ✓71%1.42–
Asian handicapPaysandu +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.862.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.08
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first ✓59%1.71–
Half-time resultVasco DA Gama ahead at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Paysandu – last 6

WLWLWW
15 Aprvs Independência2–1W
10 Apr@ Nacional AM0–7L
5 Apr@ Volta Redonda1–0W
1 Apr@ Guaporé0–1L
18 Mar@ Portuguesa3–2W
12 Marvs Portuguesa RJ3–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

LDLDWD
15 Aprvs A. Italiano1–2L
7 Apr@ Barracas Central0–0D
5 Aprvs Botafogo1–2L
2 Apr@ Coritiba1–1D
19 Marvs Fluminense3–2W
16 Mar@ Cruzeiro3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Vasco DA Gama.

Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Barra0 Corinthians1 127%4.60X26%3.35248%1.80 0.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Goias2 Cruzeiro2 131%3.35X28%3.05241%2.26 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Bahia1 Remo3 161%1.41X22%4.35217%7.70 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Santos0 Coritiba0 160%1.70X24%3.50216%5.00 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama?

On our numbers Paysandu have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vasco DA Gama 52%.

How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama?

Paysandu vs Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Mangueirão.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.