Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗41% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Goias vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruzeiro travel to face Goias on Wednesday 22 April in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estádio da Serrinha the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Goias, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Criciuma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cruzeiro, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gremio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Goias, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.7 for Cruzeiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.2 xG, Cruzeiro 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 31%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias31%fair 3.22 · @3.35
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.05
Cruzeiro41%fair 2.43 · @2.26
2.55Expected goals
1.15Goias xG
1.40Cruzeiro xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Goias 1.2 – 1.4 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
41%
2.43
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Goias +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Cruzeiro to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Goias – last 5
WDWDW
7 Apr
vs Criciuma
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Londrina
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Maringá
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Fluminense PI
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cruzeiro – last 6
WLWWLD
19 Apr
vs Gremio
2–0
W
15 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Vitoria
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Cruzeiro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Goias vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Goias have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cruzeiro 41%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Cruzeiro?
Goias vs Cruzeiro (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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