Barra 27%Draw 26%Corinthians 48%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.11
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✓48% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.45
Barra vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Barra v Corinthians in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio da Ressacada.
Current form
Barra, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Maranhão, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Corinthians, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vitoria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barra 0.9 xG, Corinthians 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barra 27%, draw 26%, Corinthians 48%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barra 0–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barra27%fair 3.73 · @4.60
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Corinthians48%fair 2.10 · @1.80
2.02Expected goals
0.91Barra xG
1.11Corinthians xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Barra 0.9 – 1.1 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✓
48%
2.10
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Corinthians (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Barra +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Corinthians to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.45
–
Recent results
Barra – last 3
WLD
12 Apr
vs Maranhão
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Camboriú
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
DWWLLD
19 Apr
@ Vitoria
0–0
D
16 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Platense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Internacional
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Corinthians.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barra vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Barra have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Corinthians 48%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Barra 0–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Corinthians?
Barra vs Corinthians (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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