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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Palmeiras v Jacuipense: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Allianz Parque

Palmeiras

WDWWW
3–0
FT

Jacuipense

LLDLW
Palmeiras 82%Draw 13%Jacuipense 4% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.42
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.77Odds

Picks by market

ResultPalmeiras to win ✓82% · @1.05
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓96% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.22
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓13% · fair 7.54

Palmeiras vs Jacuipense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Palmeiras welcome Jacuipense to Allianz Parque for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 23 April (23:30 WAT).

Current form

Palmeiras, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sporting Cristal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Jacuipense, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Ceara, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Jacuipense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 2.3 xG, Jacuipense 0.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 41%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 82%, draw 13%, Jacuipense 4%.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 2–0 Jacuipense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Palmeiras82%fair 1.22 · @1.05
Draw13%fair 7.49 · @10.50
Jacuipense4%fair 22.35 · @45.00
2.72Expected goals
2.29Palmeiras xG
0.42Jacuipense xG
41%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–017%
1–015%
3–013%
4–08%
2–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.3 – 0.4 Jacuipense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalmeiras to win ✓82%1.221.05
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓96%1.05–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.701.22
Draw no betPalmeiras (draw no bet) ✓95%1.05–
Asian handicapPalmeiras -1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.77 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.30
First team to scorePalmeiras to score first ✓79%1.27–
Half-time resultPalmeiras ahead at half-time ✓57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras ✓55%1.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓13%7.54–

Recent results

Palmeiras – last 6

WDWWWW
16 Aprvs Sporting Cristal2–1W
9 Apr@ Junior1–1D
5 Apr@ Bahia2–1W
3 Aprvs Gremio2–1W
22 Mar@ Sao Paulo1–0W
18 Marvs Botafogo2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Jacuipense – last 5

LLDLW
15 Apr@ Ceara1–4L
7 Apr@ Ferroviario0–1L
30 Marvs America-RN0–0D
25 Mar@ Sport Recife1–2L
12 Mar@ Santa Catarina1–0W
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Jacuipense.

Palmeiras vs Jacuipense head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Fortaleza EC2 CRB1 145%1.96X27%3.20229%4.00 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Athletic Club1 Internacional2 124%5.00X26%3.65250%1.68 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Flamengo2 Vitoria1 173%1.27X17%5.10210%11.50 2.3–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT RB Bragantino1 Mirassol1 151%1.91X28%2.95221%4.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Atletico-MG2 Ceara1 159%1.54X23%3.90218%6.20 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?

On our numbers Palmeiras have a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Jacuipense 4%.

How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?

Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Jacuipense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?

Palmeiras vs Jacuipense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Parque.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.