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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flamengo v Vitoria: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio do Maracanã

Flamengo

WWWLD
2–1
FT

Vitoria

DWWDL
Flamengo 73%Draw 17%Vitoria 10% Expected goals 2.34 – 0.69
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✓73% · @1.27
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.95

Flamengo vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitoria travel to face Flamengo on Thursday 23 April in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Flamengo, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bahia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Vitoria, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Corinthians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Vitoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 2.3 xG, Vitoria 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 73%, draw 17%, Vitoria 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flamengo73%fair 1.37 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @5.10
Vitoria10%fair 10.32 · @11.50
3.03Expected goals
2.34Flamengo xG
0.69Vitoria xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Flamengo 2.3 – 0.7 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✓73%1.371.27
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.05
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapFlamengo -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first73%1.36–
Half-time resultFlamengo ahead at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✗50%2.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.95–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

WWWLDW
19 Aprvs Bahia2–0W
17 Aprvs Independiente Medellin4–1W
9 Apr@ Cusco2–0W
3 Apr@ RB Bragantino0–3L
23 Mar@ Corinthians1–1D
20 Marvs remo3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vitoria – last 6

DWWDLL
19 Aprvs Corinthians0–0D
16 Aprvs Piauí3–1W
8 Aprvs Juazeirense4–1W
5 Apr@ Chapecoense-sc1–1D
2 Apr@ Cruzeiro0–3L
25 Marvs Botafogo PB1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Vitoria.

Flamengo vs Vitoria head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Fortaleza EC2 CRB1 145%1.96X27%3.20229%4.00 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Athletic Club1 Internacional2 124%5.00X26%3.65250%1.68 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT RB Bragantino1 Mirassol1 151%1.91X28%2.95221%4.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Atletico-MG2 Ceara1 159%1.54X23%3.90218%6.20 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Palmeiras3 Jacuipense0 182%1.05X13%10.5024%45.00 2.3–0.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.77 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Vitoria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Flamengo vs Vitoria?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vitoria 10%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Vitoria?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Vitoria?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Vitoria?

Flamengo vs Vitoria (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.