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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fortaleza EC v CRB: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo

Fortaleza EC

WDLDW
2–1
FT

CRB

LDLLL
Fortaleza EC 45%Draw 27%CRB 29% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.15
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: CRB to win @ 4.00 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.11

Fortaleza EC vs CRB: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fortaleza EC welcome CRB to Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 23 April (00:30 WAT).

Current form

Fortaleza EC, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Criciuma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

CRB, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventude, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for CRB.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 1.5 xG, CRB 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 27%, CRB 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: CRB to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 1–1 CRB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fortaleza EC45%fair 2.24 · @1.96
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
CRB29%fair 3.47 · @4.00
2.61Expected goals
1.46Fortaleza EC xG
1.15CRB xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.5 – 1.2 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortaleza EC to win ✓45%2.241.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betFortaleza EC (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapCRB +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.05
First team to scoreFortaleza EC to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.11–

Recent results

Fortaleza EC – last 6

WDLDWW
20 Aprvs Criciuma3–2W
16 Apr@ America-RN1–1D
9 Apr@ Ceara0–2L
31 Marvs Cuiaba0–0D
28 Marvs Imperatriz2–1W
25 Mar@ Ferroviario1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CRB – last 6

LDLLLD
19 Aprvs Juventude0–1L
15 Apr@ Fluminense PI0–0D
13 Aprvs Athletic Club2–3L
9 Apr@ ASA0–2L
2 Aprvs Avai0–1L
25 Mar@ AO Itabaiana0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and CRB.

Fortaleza EC vs CRB head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Athletic Club1 Internacional2 124%5.00X26%3.65250%1.68 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Flamengo2 Vitoria1 173%1.27X17%5.10210%11.50 2.3–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT RB Bragantino1 Mirassol1 151%1.91X28%2.95221%4.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Atletico-MG2 Ceara1 159%1.54X23%3.90218%6.20 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Palmeiras3 Jacuipense0 182%1.05X13%10.5024%45.00 2.3–0.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.77 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CRB 29%.

How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Fortaleza EC vs CRB?

Fortaleza EC vs CRB (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.