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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AO Itabaiana v Confiança: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Etelvino Mendonca

AO Itabaiana

LLDLW
0–1
FT

Confiança

WLWL
AO Itabaiana 37%Draw 29%Confiança 34% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.05
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAO Itabaiana to win ✗37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.03

AO Itabaiana vs Confiança: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 9 April the Copa Do Nordeste brings AO Itabaiana against Confiança at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.

Current form

AO Itabaiana, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santa Cruz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Confiança, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fluminense PI, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Confiança 1–2 AO Itabaiana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AO Itabaiana 1.1 xG, Confiança 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AO Itabaiana 37%, draw 29%, Confiança 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: AO Itabaiana 1–1 Confiança. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AO Itabaiana37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.90
Confiança34%fair 2.93 · @2.80
2.20Expected goals
1.15AO Itabaiana xG
1.05Confiança xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.1 – 1.1 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAO Itabaiana to win ✗37%2.722.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.10 ▲
Draw no betAO Itabaiana (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapConfiança +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.601.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreAO Itabaiana to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT AO Itabaiana / FT AO Itabaiana ✗21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.03–

Recent results

AO Itabaiana – last 6

LLDLWW
7 Apr@ Santa Cruz0–1L
29 Mar@ Juazeirense0–3L
25 Marvs CRB0–0D
5 Mar@ Manauara1–3L
26 Feb@ Confiança2–1W
21 Febvs Falcon1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Confiança – last 4

WLWL
29 Marvs Fluminense PI2–0W
26 Mar@ Sousa1–4L
12 Marvs Tombense2–0W
26 Febvs AO Itabaiana1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026Confiança v AO Itabaiana1–2
AO Itabaiana vs Confiança head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Sport Recife3 Retrô0 153%1.67X25%3.60222%4.50 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Ceara2 Fortaleza EC0 135%2.38X28%3.00237%2.90 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT ASA2 CRB0 141%2.95X27%2.90232%2.40 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?

On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Confiança 34%.

How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?

Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 1–1 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?

AO Itabaiana vs Confiança (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.