Sport Recife vs Retrô: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Sport Recife v Retrô in the Copa Do Nordeste, played at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Londrina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.6 xG, Retrô 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 53%, draw 25%, Retrô 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Recife or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 Retrô. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife53%fair 1.88 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Retrô22%fair 4.53 · @4.50
2.63Expected goals
1.60Sport Recife xG
1.03Retrô xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.6 – 1.0 Retrô expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Retrô +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Sport Recife – last 6
WDWWDL
5 Apr
@ Londrina
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Vila Nova
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ ABC
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Jacuipense
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Cuiaba
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Athletic Club
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Retrô – last 2
WL
24 Mar
@ Imperatriz
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Uberlandia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Retrô.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Retrô?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Retrô 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Retrô?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Retrô?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Retrô, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Retrô?
Sport Recife vs Retrô (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Ceara2
Fortaleza EC0
AO Itabaiana0
Confiança1
ASA2
CRB0