Value bet: ASA to win @ 2.95 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultASA to win ✓41% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
ASA vs CRB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: ASA v CRB in the Copa Do Nordeste.
Current form
ASA, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to CSA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CRB, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Avai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA 1.4 xG, CRB 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA 41%, draw 27%, CRB 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: ASA to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA 1–1 CRB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA41%fair 2.45 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
CRB32%fair 3.15 · @2.40
2.53Expected goals
1.45ASA xG
1.08CRB xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: ASA 1.4 – 1.1 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✓
41%
2.45
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
ASA (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
CRB +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
ASA to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✓
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
ASA – last 6
LWWWLW
2 Apr
vs CSA
2–3
L
24 Mar
vs Piauí
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Miguelense
6–0
W
2 Mar
@ Penedense
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Operario Ferroviario
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Murici Fc
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CRB – last 6
LDWLWW
2 Apr
vs Avai
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ AO Itabaiana
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Figueirense
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs CSA
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Porto BA
6–0
W
19 Feb
vs CSA
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA and CRB.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ASA vs CRB?
On our numbers ASA have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CRB 32%.
How many goals will there be in ASA vs CRB?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA vs CRB?
Our predicted score is ASA 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ASA vs CRB?
ASA vs CRB (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Sport Recife3
Retrô0
Ceara2
Fortaleza EC0
AO Itabaiana0
Confiança1