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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ceara v Fortaleza EC: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil

Ceara

DDWWW
2–0
FT

Fortaleza EC

DWWLW
Ceara 35%Draw 28%Fortaleza EC 37% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.22
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 9 April the Copa Do Nordeste brings Ceara against Fortaleza EC. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Ceara, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ponte Preta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Fortaleza EC, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cuiaba, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.2 xG, Fortaleza EC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 35%, draw 28%, Fortaleza EC 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Fortaleza EC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ceara35%fair 2.83 · @2.38
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Fortaleza EC37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
2.38Expected goals
1.16Ceara xG
1.22Fortaleza EC xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.2 – 1.2 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortaleza EC to win ✗37%2.732.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.80
Draw no betFortaleza EC (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapCeara +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreFortaleza EC to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.51–

Recent results

Ceara – last 6

DDWWWW
2 Apr@ Ponte Preta1–1D
25 Marvs ABC1–1D
12 Mar@ Maranhão1–0W
27 Febvs Primavera SP2–1W
22 Febvs Floresta4–0W
15 Feb@ Floresta3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fortaleza EC – last 6

DWWLWW
31 Marvs Cuiaba0–0D
28 Marvs Imperatriz2–1W
25 Mar@ Ferroviario1–0W
21 Mar@ Botafogo SP0–4L
17 Mar@ Nova Iguaçu1–0W
11 Mar@ Manauara1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Fortaleza EC.

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Sport Recife3 Retrô0 153%1.67X25%3.60222%4.50 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT AO Itabaiana0 Confiança1 137%2.50X29%2.90234%2.80 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 62%@1.55 ✗
FT ASA2 CRB0 141%2.95X27%2.90232%2.40 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

On our numbers Ceara have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fortaleza EC 37%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.