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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Volta Redonda v Novorizontino: numbers & prediction

· · Raulino de Oliveira

Volta Redonda

LLWDL
1–2
FT

Novorizontino

LLWDW
Volta Redonda 26%Draw 25%Novorizontino 49% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.60
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.58

Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Volta Redonda welcome Novorizontino to Raulino de Oliveira for a fixture on Thursday 7 May (01:30 WAT).

Current form

Volta Redonda, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caxias, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Novorizontino, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Avai, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Volta Redonda 0.9 xG, Novorizontino 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Volta Redonda 26%, draw 25%, Novorizontino 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volta Redonda 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Volta Redonda26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Novorizontino49%fair 2.04 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
0.90Volta Redonda xG
1.60Novorizontino xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Volta Redonda 0.9 – 1.6 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓49%2.042.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.95
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapVolta Redonda +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.58–

Recent results

Volta Redonda – last 6

LLWDLW
1 May@ Caxias0–2L
25 Apr@ Maranhão1–2L
16 Aprvs Tombense3–2W
8 Apr@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
5 Aprvs Paysandu0–1L
5 Mar@ Ivinhema4–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Novorizontino – last 6

LLWDWD
30 Aprvs Avai1–2L
26 Apr@ Sport Recife0–1L
20 Aprvs Athletic Club2–1W
15 Apr@ Operario-PR1–1D
10 Aprvs São Bernardo1–0W
31 Mar@ Juventude0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Volta Redonda and Novorizontino.

Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT São Bernardo1 Caxias1 142%2.20X28%3.00231%3.20 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✓
FT Operario-PR1 Chapecoense-sc2 146%2.20X26%2.95227%3.30 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Juventude2 Tombense1 156%1.91X26%3.10217%3.85 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Avai2 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 152%1.48X27%3.75221%6.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT America Mineiro3 Cianorte2 148%1.90X27%3.20225%3.90 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino?

On our numbers Volta Redonda have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novorizontino 49%.

How many goals will there be in Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino?

Our predicted score is Volta Redonda 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino?

Volta Redonda vs Novorizontino () kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Raulino de Oliveira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.