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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventude v Tombense: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude

LWLWD
2–1
FT

Tombense

DLDWL
Juventude 56%Draw 26%Tombense 17% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.86
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Juventude to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJuventude to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.24

Juventude vs Tombense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Thursday 7 May: Juventude v Tombense in the , played at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.

Current form

Juventude, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cianorte, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tombense, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with São Bernardo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.8 xG, Tombense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 56%, draw 26%, Tombense 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Juventude or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Juventude to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 2–0 Tombense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventude56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Tombense17%fair 5.76 · @3.85
2.68Expected goals
1.82Juventude xG
0.86Tombense xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Juventude 1.8 – 0.9 Tombense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventude to win ✓56%1.771.91 ▲
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.00
Draw no betJuventude (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapTombense +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreJuventude to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultJuventude ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventude / FT Juventude ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.24–

Recent results

Juventude – last 6

LWLWDL
1 May@ Cianorte2–3L
26 Aprvs Londrina1–0W
21 Apr@ Sao Paulo0–1L
19 Apr@ CRB1–0W
16 Aprvs Chapecoense-sc0–0D
8 Apr@ Caxias0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Tombense – last 6

DLDWLL
30 Aprvs São Bernardo2–2D
16 Apr@ Volta Redonda2–3L
9 Aprvs America Mineiro3–3D
26 Marvs Avai3–2W
12 Mar@ Confiança0–2L
1 Mar@ Uniao Trabalhadores1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Tombense.

Juventude vs Tombense head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Volta Redonda1 Novorizontino2 126%3.00X25%3.00249%2.30 0.9–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT São Bernardo1 Caxias1 142%2.20X28%3.00231%3.20 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✓
FT Operario-PR1 Chapecoense-sc2 146%2.20X26%2.95227%3.30 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Avai2 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 152%1.48X27%3.75221%6.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT America Mineiro3 Cianorte2 148%1.90X27%3.20225%3.90 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventude vs Tombense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Juventude vs Tombense?

On our numbers Juventude have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tombense 17%.

How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Tombense?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Tombense?

Our predicted score is Juventude 2–0 Tombense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Juventude vs Tombense?

Juventude vs Tombense () kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.