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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avai v Sampaio Corrêa RJ: numbers & prediction

·

Avai

WLWLD
2–0
FT

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

LLDDW
Avai 52%Draw 27%Sampaio Corrêa RJ 21% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.06
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAvai to win ✓52% · @1.48
Double chanceAvai or draw ✓79% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 7 May the brings Avai against Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Avai, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Novorizontino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Avai, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.4 xG, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 52%, draw 27%, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avai52%fair 1.91 · @1.48
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.75
Sampaio Corrêa RJ21%fair 4.75 · @6.60
2.48Expected goals
1.42Avai xG
1.06Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Avai 1.4 – 1.1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAvai to win ✓52%1.911.48
Double chanceAvai or draw ✓79%1.271.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Draw no betAvai (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapSampaio Corrêa RJ +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAvai to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Avai / FT Avai ✓27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.19–

Recent results

Avai – last 6

WLWLDW
30 Apr@ Novorizontino2–1W
19 Aprvs Ponte Preta1–2L
16 Aprvs Caxias1–0W
8 Apr@ Chapecoense-sc1–2L
5 Aprvs Operario-PR0–0D
2 Apr@ CRB1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6

LLDDWL
30 Aprvs Operario-PR1–2L
16 Apr@ America Mineiro1–2L
8 Aprvs Volta Redonda1–1D
30 Mar@ São Bernardo2–2D
25 Marvs Juventude2–0W
3 Mar@ Portuguesa RJ0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Avai and Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Volta Redonda1 Novorizontino2 126%3.00X25%3.00249%2.30 0.9–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT São Bernardo1 Caxias1 142%2.20X28%3.00231%3.20 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✓
FT Operario-PR1 Chapecoense-sc2 146%2.20X26%2.95227%3.30 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Juventude2 Tombense1 156%1.91X26%3.10217%3.85 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT America Mineiro3 Cianorte2 148%1.90X27%3.20225%3.90 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

On our numbers Avai have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ 21%.

How many goals will there be in Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ () kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.