Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Somalia to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMauritius to win ✗43% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Mauritius vs Somalia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 31 March the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Mauritius against Somalia. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Somalia 0–0 Mauritius.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mauritius 1.2 xG, Somalia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mauritius 43%, draw 24%, Somalia 33%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Somalia to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mauritius 1–0 Somalia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mauritius43%fair 2.32 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Somalia33%fair 3.06 · @3.35
2.13Expected goals
1.17Mauritius xG
0.96Somalia xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mauritius 1.2 – 1.0 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Mauritius vs Somalia?
On our numbers Mauritius have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Somalia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritius vs Somalia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritius vs Somalia?
Our predicted score is Mauritius 1–0 Somalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mauritius vs Somalia?
Mauritius vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethiopia1
Sao Tome and Principe0
Burundi4
Chad0
Eswatini1
Eritrea2