Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +74%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40
Double chanceEswatini or draw ✗81% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Eswatini vs Eritrea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Eswatini v Eritrea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Somholo National Stadium.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Eritrea 2–0 Eswatini.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eswatini 1.2 xG, Eritrea 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eswatini 30%, draw 51%, Eritrea 19%.
Lower-risk option: Eswatini or draw (81%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Eswatini or draw (81%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eswatini 1–0 Eritrea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eswatini30%fair 3.37 · @2.08
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.40
Eritrea19%fair 5.23 · @3.15
2.21Expected goals
1.21Eswatini xG
1.00Eritrea xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Eswatini 1.2 – 1.0 Eritrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Eswatini or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Eswatini vs Eritrea?
On our numbers Eswatini have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Eritrea 19%.
How many goals will there be in Eswatini vs Eritrea?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eswatini vs Eritrea?
Our predicted score is Eswatini 1–0 Eritrea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Eswatini vs Eritrea?
Eswatini vs Eritrea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Somholo National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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