Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBurundi to win ✓60% · @1.71
Double chanceBurundi or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Burundi vs Chad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Burundi v Chad in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Intwari Stadium. In the table, Burundi are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Chad are 4th with 3. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Chad 0–4 Burundi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burundi 2.1 xG, Chad 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burundi 60%, draw 22%, Chad 18%.
Lower-risk option: Burundi or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burundi 2–1 Chad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burundi60%fair 1.67 · @1.71
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.60
Chad18%fair 5.67 · @4.40
3.23Expected goals
2.13Burundi xG
1.10Chad xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Burundi 2.1 – 1.1 Chad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Burundi vs Chad?
On our numbers Burundi have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chad 18%.
How many goals will there be in Burundi vs Chad?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burundi vs Chad?
Our predicted score is Burundi 2–1 Chad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Burundi vs Chad?
Burundi vs Chad (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Intwari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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