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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlético Alagoinhas v Jacuipense: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Carneiro
0–1
FT
Atlético Alagoinhas 36%Draw 28%Jacuipense 36% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.31
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Alagoinhas to win ✗36% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Serie D brings Atlético Alagoinhas against Jacuipense at Carneiro. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Atlético Alagoinhas, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CSA, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Jacuipense, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Palmeiras, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Alagoinhas 1.3 xG, Jacuipense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Alagoinhas 36%, draw 28%, Jacuipense 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Alagoinhas 1–1 Jacuipense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Alagoinhas36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.80
Jacuipense36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.29Atlético Alagoinhas xG
1.31Jacuipense xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atlético Alagoinhas 1.3 – 1.3 Jacuipense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Alagoinhas to win ✗36%2.782.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.83
Draw no betAtlético Alagoinhas (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapAtlético Alagoinhas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreJacuipense to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jacuipense / FT Jacuipense ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Atlético Alagoinhas – last 4

LLLD
5 Apr@ CSA0–3L
26 Feb@ São Bernardo0–2L
22 Febvs Bahia2–4L
15 Febvs Porto BA0–0D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jacuipense – last 6

LLLLLD
14 Mayvs Palmeiras1–4L
30 Aprvs Imperatriz0–1L
23 Apr@ Palmeiras0–3L
15 Apr@ Ceara1–4L
7 Apr@ Ferroviario0–1L
30 Marvs America-RN0–0D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlético Alagoinhas and Jacuipense.

Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?

On our numbers Atlético Alagoinhas have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Jacuipense 36%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?

Our predicted score is Atlético Alagoinhas 1–1 Jacuipense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?

Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Carneiro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.