Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.56
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sao Jose travel to face Brasil DE Pelotas on Sunday 17 May in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brasil DE Pelotas 1.2 xG, Sao Jose 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brasil DE Pelotas 40%, draw 31%, Sao Jose 28%.
Lower-risk option: Brasil DE Pelotas or draw (72%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Brasil DE Pelotas or draw (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Sao Jose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brasil DE Pelotas40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.45
Sao Jose28%fair 3.51 · @3.20
2.08Expected goals
1.21Brasil DE Pelotas xG
0.87Sao Jose xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Brasil DE Pelotas 1.2 – 0.9 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasil DE Pelotas to win✗
40%
2.50
2.45
Double chance
Brasil DE Pelotas or draw✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Brasil DE Pelotas (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Sao Jose +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Brasil DE Pelotas to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.56
–
Recent results
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 2
WW
13 May
vs Guarany de Bagé
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuriz
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sao Jose – last 2
LL
23 Feb
vs Novo Hamburgo
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Novo Hamburgo
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brasil DE Pelotas and Sao Jose.
What is the prediction for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose?
Our pick is Brasil DE Pelotas or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose?
On our numbers Brasil DE Pelotas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sao Jose 28%.
How many goals will there be in Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose?
Our predicted score is Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose?
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Central SC0
Maguary PE0
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Jacuipense1
America-RN5
Laguna0
Cianorte1
Cascavel0
CRAC2
ABECAT Ouvidorense1
CSE1
CSA5
Tuna Luso2
Águia de Marabá1
Ferroviario2
Uniclinic Atletico Clube0