Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Tuna Luso v Águia de Marabá in the Serie D.
Current form
Tuna Luso, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Imperatriz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Águia de Marabá, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Águia de Marabá, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Tuna Luso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tuna Luso 1.5 xG, Águia de Marabá 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tuna Luso 36%, draw 26%, Águia de Marabá 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tuna Luso 1–1 Águia de Marabá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tuna Luso36%fair 2.74 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.90
Águia de Marabá37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
3.02Expected goals
1.50Tuna Luso xG
1.52Águia de Marabá xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tuna Luso 1.5 – 1.5 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águia de Marabá to win✗
37%
2.69
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Águia de Marabá (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Tuna Luso +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Águia de Marabá to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águia de Marabá / FT Águia de Marabá✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Tuna Luso – last 4
DWLL
5 Apr
vs Imperatriz
0–0
D
4 Mar
vs Tocantinópolis
4–1
W
20 Feb
@ Paysandu
1–5
L
15 Feb
@ Bragantino PA
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Águia de Marabá – last 6
LDWWWW
6 May
vs Paysandu
1–5
L
29 Apr
@ Porto Velho
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Remo
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Galvez
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Monte Roraima
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tuna Luso and Águia de Marabá.
What is the prediction for Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá?
On our numbers Tuna Luso have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águia de Marabá 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá?
Our predicted score is Tuna Luso 1–1 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá?
Tuna Luso vs Águia de Marabá (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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