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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cianorte v Cascavel: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay
1–0
FT
Cianorte 42%Draw 29%Cascavel 29% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.95
71%
Betarazi pick

Cianorte or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCianorte to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceCianorte or draw ✓71% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.14

Cianorte vs Cascavel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Cianorte v Cascavel in the Serie D, played at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay.

Current form

Cianorte, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cianorte 1.2 xG, Cascavel 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cianorte 42%, draw 29%, Cascavel 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cianorte or draw (71%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Cascavel to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cianorte or draw (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cianorte 1–0 Cascavel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cianorte42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.62
Cascavel29%fair 3.46 · @3.80
2.11Expected goals
1.16Cianorte xG
0.95Cascavel xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Cianorte 1.2 – 1.0 Cascavel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCianorte to win ✓42%2.382.05
Double chanceCianorte or draw ✓71%1.411.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.50
Draw no betCianorte (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapCascavel +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreCianorte to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cianorte / FT Cianorte ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%7.14–

Recent results

Cianorte – last 6

LWWDWL
7 May@ America Mineiro2–3L
1 Mayvs Juventude3–2W
15 Apr@ São Bernardo1–0W
9 Aprvs Operario-PR0–0D
5 Aprvs Guarany de Bagé3–1W
25 Feb@ Anápolis1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cascavel – last 1

W
5 Aprvs Santa Catarina1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cianorte and Cascavel.

Cianorte vs Cascavel head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cianorte vs Cascavel?

Our pick is Cianorte or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cianorte vs Cascavel?

On our numbers Cianorte have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cascavel 29%.

How many goals will there be in Cianorte vs Cascavel?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cianorte vs Cascavel?

Our predicted score is Cianorte 1–0 Cascavel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Cianorte vs Cascavel?

Cianorte vs Cascavel (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.