Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCianorte to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceCianorte or draw ✓71% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.14
Cianorte vs Cascavel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Cianorte v Cascavel in the Serie D, played at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay.
Current form
Cianorte, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cianorte 1.2 xG, Cascavel 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cianorte 42%, draw 29%, Cascavel 29%.
Lower-risk option: Cianorte or draw (71%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Cascavel to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cianorte or draw (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cianorte 1–0 Cascavel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cianorte42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.62
Cascavel29%fair 3.46 · @3.80
2.11Expected goals
1.16Cianorte xG
0.95Cascavel xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cianorte 1.2 – 1.0 Cascavel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cianorte to win✓
42%
2.38
2.05
Double chance
Cianorte or draw✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.50
Draw no bet
Cianorte (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Cascavel +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Cianorte to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cianorte / FT Cianorte✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.14
–
Recent results
Cianorte – last 6
LWWDWL
7 May
@ America Mineiro
2–3
L
1 May
vs Juventude
3–2
W
15 Apr
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Operario-PR
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Guarany de Bagé
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Anápolis
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cascavel – last 1
W
5 Apr
vs Santa Catarina
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cianorte and Cascavel.
Our pick is Cianorte or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cianorte vs Cascavel?
On our numbers Cianorte have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cascavel 29%.
How many goals will there be in Cianorte vs Cascavel?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cianorte vs Cascavel?
Our predicted score is Cianorte 1–0 Cascavel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cianorte vs Cascavel?
Cianorte vs Cascavel (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.