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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nova Iguaçu v XV de Piracicaba: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Janio Moraes

Nova Iguaçu

LLWDD
1–0
FT

XV de Piracicaba

DDWWL
Nova Iguaçu 39%Draw 32%XV de Piracicaba 29% Expected goals 1.11 – 0.83
71%
Betarazi pick

Nova Iguaçu or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultNova Iguaçu to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceNova Iguaçu or draw ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.30

Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nova Iguaçu welcome XV de Piracicaba to Estadio Janio Moraes for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 7 June (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Nova Iguaçu, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CFRJ Maricá, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

XV de Piracicaba, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Noroeste, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours XV de Piracicaba, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nova Iguaçu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nova Iguaçu 1.1 xG, XV de Piracicaba 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nova Iguaçu 39%, draw 32%, XV de Piracicaba 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nova Iguaçu or draw (71%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nova Iguaçu or draw (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nova Iguaçu 1–0 XV de Piracicaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nova Iguaçu39%fair 2.56 · @2.40
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @2.50
XV de Piracicaba29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
1.95Expected goals
1.11Nova Iguaçu xG
0.83XV de Piracicaba xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Nova Iguaçu 1.1 – 0.8 XV de Piracicaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNova Iguaçu to win ✓39%2.562.40
Double chanceNova Iguaçu or draw ✓71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.53
Draw no betNova Iguaçu (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapXV de Piracicaba +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreNova Iguaçu to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nova Iguaçu / FT Nova Iguaçu ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.30–

Recent results

Nova Iguaçu – last 6

LLWDDL
30 May@ CFRJ Maricá0–1L
17 Marvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
12 Mar@ Castanhal4–0W
26 Febvs Portuguesa RJ1–1D
24 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
16 Febvs CFRJ Maricá0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

XV de Piracicaba – last 6

DDWWLD
30 Mayvs Noroeste1–1D
23 May@ Velo Clube1–1D
15 Apr@ Água Santa1–0W
9 Aprvs Ituano3–0W
26 Marvs Votuporanguense1–2L
18 Mar@ Ituano0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nova Iguaçu and XV de Piracicaba.

Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau0 Sao Jose1 141%2.50X31%2.50228%3.00 1.2–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Independiente FSJ0 Marcílio Dias0 130%3.10X31%2.50240%2.45 0.8–1.0xG X2Marcílio Dias or draw 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Parnahyba1 Moto Club0 160%1.95X25%2.90216%3.75 1.7–0.8xG 1XParnahyba or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Sampaio Correa0 Iguatu1 153%1.62X26%3.00221%5.50 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.25 ✗
FT Guarany de Bagé0 Cianorte1 122%4.60X29%2.70249%1.85 1.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.40 ✗
FT Santa Catarina1 Cascavel0 138%2.15X29%2.62233%3.60 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✗
FT São Luiz3 Joinville1 137%2.30X30%2.50233%3.30 1.1–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia2 União Rondonópolis0 165%1.44X24%3.80210%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Capital Brasilia to win 65%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba?

Our pick is Nova Iguaçu or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba?

On our numbers Nova Iguaçu have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 32% and XV de Piracicaba 29%.

How many goals will there be in Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba?

Our predicted score is Nova Iguaçu 1–0 XV de Piracicaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba?

Nova Iguaçu vs XV de Piracicaba (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Janio Moraes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.