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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Velo Clube v CFRJ Maricá: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano

Velo Clube

LDL
3–1
FT

CFRJ Maricá

WWWWW
Velo Clube 40%Draw 29%CFRJ Maricá 31% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.03
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 2.15 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.15Odds
2

Value bet: CFRJ Maricá to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVelo Clube to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.60

Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 7 June the Serie D brings Velo Clube against CFRJ Maricá at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Velo Clube, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sampaio Corrêa RJ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

CFRJ Maricá, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nova Iguaçu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CFRJ Maricá, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Velo Clube.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Velo Clube 1.1 xG, CFRJ Maricá 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Velo Clube 40%, draw 29%, CFRJ Maricá 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: CFRJ Maricá to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velo Clube 1–1 CFRJ Maricá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Velo Clube40%fair 2.51 · @2.00
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.70
CFRJ Maricá31%fair 3.23 · @3.80
2.12Expected goals
1.09Velo Clube xG
1.03CFRJ Maricá xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Velo Clube 1.1 – 1.0 CFRJ Maricá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelo Clube to win ✓40%2.512.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.15 ▲
Draw no betVelo Clube (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapCFRJ Maricá +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreVelo Clube to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Velo Clube / FT Velo Clube ✓21%4.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.60–

Recent results

Velo Clube – last 3

LDL
30 May@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ0–1L
23 Mayvs XV de Piracicaba1–1D
16 Feb@ Santos0–7L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CFRJ Maricá – last 6

WWWWWL
30 Mayvs Nova Iguaçu1–0W
27 Mayvs Olaria2–1W
20 May@ América RJ1–0W
13 Mayvs São Gonçalo EC RJ1–0W
6 Mayvs Cabofriense1–0W
26 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Velo Clube and CFRJ Maricá.

Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau0 Sao Jose1 141%2.50X31%2.50228%3.00 1.2–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Independiente FSJ0 Marcílio Dias0 130%3.10X31%2.50240%2.45 0.8–1.0xG X2Marcílio Dias or draw 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Parnahyba1 Moto Club0 160%1.95X25%2.90216%3.75 1.7–0.8xG 1XParnahyba or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Sampaio Correa0 Iguatu1 153%1.62X26%3.00221%5.50 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.25 ✗
FT Guarany de Bagé0 Cianorte1 122%4.60X29%2.70249%1.85 1.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.40 ✗
FT Santa Catarina1 Cascavel0 138%2.15X29%2.62233%3.60 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✗
FT São Luiz3 Joinville1 137%2.30X30%2.50233%3.30 1.1–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia2 União Rondonópolis0 165%1.44X24%3.80210%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Capital Brasilia to win 65%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?

On our numbers Velo Clube have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and CFRJ Maricá 31%.

How many goals will there be in Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?

Our predicted score is Velo Clube 1–1 CFRJ Maricá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá?

Velo Clube vs CFRJ Maricá (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.