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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelyabinsk v Ural: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Central Stadium

Chelyabinsk

DLDLL
1–2
FT

Ural

WWDWL
Chelyabinsk 25%Draw 25%Ural 50% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.54
75%
Betarazi pick

Ural or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultUral to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceUral or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.71

Chelyabinsk vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ural travel to face Chelyabinsk on Sunday 26 April in the First League, with Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:30 WAT. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Ural are 2nd (among the top four) with 34. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chelyabinsk, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal Tula, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ural, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Torpedo Moskva, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ural, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Chelyabinsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.0 xG, Ural 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 25%, draw 25%, Ural 50%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ural or draw (75%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.86.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ural or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 0–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelyabinsk25%fair 4.07 · @3.62
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Ural50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
2.49Expected goals
0.95Chelyabinsk xG
1.54Ural xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.0 – 1.5 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChelyabinskUral
Attack vs First League average+2%+24%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-37%
Our expected goals here0.951.64

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral to win ✓50%2.002.00
Double chanceUral or draw ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.86
Draw no betUral (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapChelyabinsk +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.04
First team to scoreUral to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural / FT Ural ✓31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.71–

Recent results

Chelyabinsk – last 6

DLDLLD
22 Apr@ Arsenal Tula0–0D
17 Apr@ Enisey0–3L
3 Aprvs Chernomorets1–1D
29 Mar@ Chayka1–2L
23 Marvs Torpedo Moskva0–1L
15 Mar@ Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ural – last 6

WWDWLL
22 Aprvs Torpedo Moskva2–0W
18 Apr@ FK Sokol Saratov3–0W
12 Aprvs FC UFA0–0D
5 Aprvs Chayka5–0W
29 Mar@ Rodina Moskva1–3L
22 Marvs Enisey2–4L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Ural.

Chelyabinsk vs Ural head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Enisey2 FK Neftekhimik0 149%1.97X27%3.16224%3.92 1.4–0.9xG 1XEnisey or draw 76%@1.22 ✓
– Chernomorets0 FK Sokol Saratov1 155%1.95X25%3.34220%3.74 1.6–0.9xG 1XChernomorets or draw 80%@1.24
– KAMAZ2 Chayka0 159%1.50X23%3.96219%6.25 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.27
– Rotor Volgograd0 Volga Ulyanovsk0 154%1.68X26%3.45219%5.15 1.5–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.38
– Shinnik Yaroslavl3 Ska-khabarovsk0 149%1.99X26%3.18225%3.82 1.4–0.9xG 1XShinnik Yaroslavl or draw 75%@1.23
– Rodina Moskva FC UFA 160%1.48X24%4.00216%6.50 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

Our pick is Ural or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ural 50%.

How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 0–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Chelyabinsk vs Ural?

Chelyabinsk vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.