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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chernomorets v FK Sokol Saratov: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Centralnyy

Chernomorets

LDLWL
0–1
–

FK Sokol Saratov

LLLLL
Chernomorets 55%Draw 25%FK Sokol Saratov 20% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick

Chernomorets or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.24

9/10Rating
1.24Odds
1

Value bet: Chernomorets to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultChernomorets to win55% · @1.95
Double chanceChernomorets or draw80% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.65

Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Chernomorets v FK Sokol Saratov in the First League, played at Centralnyy.

Current form

Chernomorets, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FK Neftekhimik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

FK Sokol Saratov, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Enisey, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chernomorets, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for FK Sokol Saratov.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chernomorets 1.6 xG, FK Sokol Saratov 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chernomorets 55%, draw 25%, FK Sokol Saratov 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chernomorets or draw (80%) at 1.24.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.92.
  • Price worth noting: Chernomorets to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chernomorets or draw (80%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chernomorets 1–0 FK Sokol Saratov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chernomorets55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.34
FK Sokol Saratov20%fair 5.04 · @3.74
2.45Expected goals
1.60Chernomorets xG
0.85FK Sokol Saratov xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Chernomorets 1.6 – 0.9 FK Sokol Saratov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChernomoretsFK Sokol Saratov
Attack vs First League average-5%-28%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+24%
Our expected goals here1.750.93

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChernomorets to win55%1.831.95 ▲
Double chanceChernomorets or draw80%1.251.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.861.92
Draw no betChernomorets (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapFK Sokol Saratov +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.02
First team to scoreChernomorets to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chernomorets / FT Chernomorets33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.65–

Recent results

Chernomorets – last 5

LDLWL
22 Apr@ FK Neftekhimik0–4L
3 Apr@ Chelyabinsk1–1D
29 Marvs Rotor Volgograd1–4L
7 Marvs Ska-khabarovsk3–0W
1 Marvs Torpedo Moskva0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

FK Sokol Saratov – last 6

LLLLLL
22 Aprvs Enisey0–4L
18 Aprvs Ural0–3L
5 Aprvs Rodina Moskva1–3L
29 Mar@ Arsenal Tula1–3L
22 Marvs FK Neftekhimik0–3L
15 Mar@ FC UFA0–2L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets and FK Sokol Saratov.

Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov head-to-head page →

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Enisey2 FK Neftekhimik0 149%1.97X27%3.16224%3.92 1.4–0.9xG 1XEnisey or draw 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Chelyabinsk1 Ural2 125%3.62X25%3.30250%2.00 1.0–1.5xG X2Ural or draw 75%@1.25 ✓
– KAMAZ2 Chayka0 159%1.50X23%3.96219%6.25 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.27
– Rotor Volgograd0 Volga Ulyanovsk0 154%1.68X26%3.45219%5.15 1.5–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.38
– Shinnik Yaroslavl3 Ska-khabarovsk0 149%1.99X26%3.18225%3.82 1.4–0.9xG 1XShinnik Yaroslavl or draw 75%@1.23
– Rodina Moskva FC UFA 160%1.48X24%4.00216%6.50 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov?

Our pick is Chernomorets or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov?

On our numbers Chernomorets have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Sokol Saratov 20%.

How many goals will there be in Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov?

Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1–0 FK Sokol Saratov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov?

Chernomorets vs FK Sokol Saratov (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.