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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KAMAZ v Chayka: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · KAMAZ Stadium

KAMAZ

WLDLD
2–0
–

Chayka

LLWLW
KAMAZ 59%Draw 23%Chayka 19% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.03
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.27

8/10Rating
1.27Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.02 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultKAMAZ to win59% · @1.50
Double chanceKAMAZ or draw81% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @2.02
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.16

KAMAZ vs Chayka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the First League brings KAMAZ against Chayka at KAMAZ Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

KAMAZ, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC UFA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chayka, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Volga Ulyanovsk, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KAMAZ 1.8 xG, Chayka 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KAMAZ 59%, draw 23%, Chayka 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.02.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.02 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: KAMAZ 1–1 Chayka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KAMAZ59%fair 1.71 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.96
Chayka19%fair 5.31 · @6.25
2.83Expected goals
1.79KAMAZ xG
1.03Chayka xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%

From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.8 – 1.0 Chayka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

KAMAZChayka
Attack vs First League average-3%-11%
Goals conceded vs average+18%+26%
Our expected goals here1.811.23

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKAMAZ to win59%1.711.50
Double chanceKAMAZ or draw81%1.231.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.722.02 ▲
Draw no betKAMAZ (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapChayka +1.5 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.961.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.421.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.06
First team to scoreKAMAZ to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultKAMAZ ahead at half-time40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT KAMAZ / FT KAMAZ34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.16–

Recent results

KAMAZ – last 6

WLDLDW
22 Apr@ FC UFA1–0W
17 Apr@ Torpedo Moskva0–2L
10 Aprvs FK Neftekhimik0–0D
8 Mar@ Enisey0–1L
27 Febvs Arsenal Tula1–1D
16 Febvs Lokomotiv1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Chayka – last 6

LLWLWL
22 Apr@ Volga Ulyanovsk1–2L
5 Apr@ Ural0–5L
29 Marvs Chelyabinsk2–1W
23 Mar@ Rodina Moskva2–5L
7 Marvs FK Sokol Saratov1–0W
1 Marvs Ska-khabarovsk1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and Chayka.

KAMAZ vs Chayka head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Enisey2 FK Neftekhimik0 149%1.97X27%3.16224%3.92 1.4–0.9xG 1XEnisey or draw 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Chelyabinsk1 Ural2 125%3.62X25%3.30250%2.00 1.0–1.5xG X2Ural or draw 75%@1.25 ✓
– Chernomorets0 FK Sokol Saratov1 155%1.95X25%3.34220%3.74 1.6–0.9xG 1XChernomorets or draw 80%@1.24
– Rotor Volgograd0 Volga Ulyanovsk0 154%1.68X26%3.45219%5.15 1.5–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.38
– Shinnik Yaroslavl3 Ska-khabarovsk0 149%1.99X26%3.18225%3.82 1.4–0.9xG 1XShinnik Yaroslavl or draw 75%@1.23
– Rodina Moskva FC UFA 160%1.48X24%4.00216%6.50 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs Chayka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win KAMAZ vs Chayka?

On our numbers KAMAZ have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chayka 19%.

How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Chayka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Chayka?

Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 Chayka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is KAMAZ vs Chayka?

KAMAZ vs Chayka (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.