Rodina Moskva 60%Draw 24%FC UFA 16%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.78
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23
8/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva to win60% · @1.48
Double chanceRodina Moskva or draw84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.87
Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Rodina Moskva v FC UFA in the First League, played at Arena Khimki.
Current form
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rotor Volgograd, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FC UFA, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KAMAZ, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for FC UFA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.6 xG, FC UFA 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 60%, draw 24%, FC UFA 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–0 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva60%fair 1.66 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @4.00
FC UFA16%fair 6.41 · @6.50
2.36Expected goals
1.59Rodina Moskva xG
0.78FC UFA xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.6 – 0.8 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
Attack vs First League average
+29%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.41
0.84
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win
60%
1.66
1.48
Double chance
Rodina Moskva or draw
84%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Rodina Moskva (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
FC UFA +1.5 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.04
First team to score
Rodina Moskva to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LWWWWD
22 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Fakel
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Ural
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Chayka
5–2
W
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
LDDLWL
22 Apr
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Ural
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and FC UFA.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC UFA 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–0 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA?
Rodina Moskva vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chernomorets0
FK Sokol Saratov1
Chayka0