Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSlovenia to win ✗58% · @1.35
Double chanceSlovenia or draw ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Slovenia vs Cyprus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slovenia welcome Cyprus to Stozice Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Thursday 4 June (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slovenia 1.6 xG, Cyprus 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slovenia 58%, draw 24%, Cyprus 17%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slovenia 1–1 Cyprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slovenia58%fair 1.71 · @1.35
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @4.20
Cyprus17%fair 5.81 · @8.90
2.62Expected goals
1.63Slovenia xG
1.00Cyprus xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Slovenia 1.6 – 1.0 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Slovenia
Cyprus
Attack vs Friendlies average
+2%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.09
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slovenia to win✗
58%
1.71
1.35
Double chance
Slovenia or draw✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Slovenia (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Cyprus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Slovenia to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slovenia / FT Slovenia✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Slovenia – last 1
W
31 Mar
@ Montenegro
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cyprus – last 2
WL
30 Mar
vs Moldova
3–2
W
26 Mar
vs Belarus
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovenia and Cyprus.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Slovenia vs Cyprus?
On our numbers Slovenia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cyprus 17%.
How many goals will there be in Slovenia vs Cyprus?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs Cyprus?
Our predicted score is Slovenia 1–1 Cyprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Slovenia vs Cyprus?
Slovenia vs Cyprus (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stozice Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.