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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sweden v Greece: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Strawberry Arena

Greece

Sweden 44%Draw 26%Greece 31% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.07

75%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.33Odds

Value bet: Greece to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSweden to win ✗44% · @2.02

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Sweden vs Greece: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 4 June: Sweden v Greece in the Friendlies, played at Strawberry Arena.

Current form

Sweden, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Norway, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sweden 1.3 xG, Greece 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sweden 44%, draw 26%, Greece 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Greece to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sweden 1–1 Greece. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sweden44%fair 2.29 · @2.02

Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.45

Greece31%fair 3.25 · @3.50

2.33Expected goals

1.26Sweden xG

1.07Greece xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–010%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Sweden 1.3 – 1.1 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Sweden	Greece
Attack vs Friendlies average	+2%	-11%
Goals conceded vs average	+12%	-6%
Our expected goals here	1.32	1.22

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sweden to win ✗	44%	2.29	2.02
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	1.73
Draw no bet	Sweden (draw no bet)	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Greece +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.85	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.11
First team to score	Sweden to score first ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sweden / FT Sweden ✗	23%	4.26	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.08	–

Recent results

Sweden – last 3

LWW

1 Jun	@ Norway	1–3	L
31 Mar	vs Poland	3–2	W
26 Mar	@ Ukraine	3–1	W

2.3Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Greece – last 2

31 Mar	@ Hungary	0–0	D
27 Mar	vs Paraguay	0–1	L

0.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sweden and Greece.

Sweden vs Greece head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Panama4

Dominican Republic2 164%1.24X20%5.40216%12.00 2.0–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.55 ✗

South Korea1

El Salvador0 168%1.27X20%5.00212%9.80 2.1–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗

Cambodia4

Bhutan0 171%1.18X19%5.60210%12.00 2.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.55 ✗

Slovenia1

Cyprus1 158%1.35X24%4.20217%8.90 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Northern Ireland1

Guinea0 145%2.08X23%3.10232%3.50 1.3–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✗

–

Burundi

Equatorial Guinea 117%4.33X24%3.25259%1.80 0.8–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.45

Moldova U213

Malta U210 168%1.48X19%4.40214%5.25 2.4–0.9xG 1Moldova U21 to win 68%@1.48 ✓

Andorra2

Liechtenstein0 159%1.49X26%3.35215%8.25 1.3–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sweden vs Greece?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Sweden vs Greece?

On our numbers Sweden have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Greece 31%.

How many goals will there be in Sweden vs Greece?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Greece?

Our predicted score is Sweden 1–1 Greece, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sweden vs Greece?

Sweden vs Greece (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.