Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultEquatorial Guinea to win59% · @1.80
Double chanceEquatorial Guinea or draw83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.69
Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burundi welcome Equatorial Guinea for a Friendlies fixture on Thursday 4 June (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burundi 0.8 xG, Equatorial Guinea 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burundi 17%, draw 24%, Equatorial Guinea 59%.
Lower-risk option: Equatorial Guinea or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burundi 0–2 Equatorial Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burundi17%fair 5.81 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.25
Equatorial Guinea59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
2.44Expected goals
0.77Burundi xG
1.67Equatorial Guinea xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Burundi 0.8 – 1.7 Equatorial Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Equatorial Guinea to win
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Equatorial Guinea or draw
83%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Equatorial Guinea (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Burundi +1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Equatorial Guinea to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Equatorial Guinea / FT Equatorial Guinea
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Burundi – last 2
WW
31 Mar
vs Chad
4–0
W
27 Mar
@ Chad
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Equatorial Guinea – last 1
D
31 Mar
vs Madagascar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burundi and Equatorial Guinea.
What is the prediction for Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea?
On our numbers Burundi have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Equatorial Guinea 59%.
How many goals will there be in Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea?
Our predicted score is Burundi 0–2 Equatorial Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea?
Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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