Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Guinea to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNorthern Ireland to win ✓45% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Northern Ireland vs Guinea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guinea travel to face Northern Ireland on Thursday 4 June in the Friendlies, with Estadio Municipal Ciudad de La Linea the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northern Ireland 1.3 xG, Guinea 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northern Ireland 45%, draw 23%, Guinea 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Guinea to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northern Ireland 1–1 Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northern Ireland45%fair 2.21 · @2.08
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Guinea32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.29Northern Ireland xG
1.01Guinea xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Northern Ireland 1.3 – 1.0 Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northern Ireland to win✓
45%
2.21
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Northern Ireland (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Guinea +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Northern Ireland to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northern Ireland / FT Northern Ireland✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Northern Ireland – last 2
DL
31 Mar
@ Wales
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ Italy
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guinea – last 2
LD
31 Mar
vs Benin
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Togo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland and Guinea.
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
On our numbers Northern Ireland have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guinea 32%.
How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
Our predicted score is Northern Ireland 1–1 Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
Northern Ireland vs Guinea (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de La Linea.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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