Chicago Fire 49%Draw 22%St. Louis City 29%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.50
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✗49% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Chicago Fire v St. Louis City in the US Open Cup, played at Soldier Field.
Current form
Chicago Fire, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sporting Kansas City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
St. Louis City, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to San Jose Earthquakes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for St. Louis City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 1.8 xG, St. Louis City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 49%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 29%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Fire49%fair 2.06 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
St. Louis City29%fair 3.41 · @3.35
3.32Expected goals
1.82Chicago Fire xG
1.50St. Louis City xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 1.8 – 1.5 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✗
49%
2.06
1.94
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Chicago Fire (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
St. Louis City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Chicago Fire to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Chicago Fire – last 6
WDWWWL
26 Apr
vs Sporting Kansas City
5–0
W
19 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
15 Apr
@ Detroit City
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Louis City – last 6
LLWDDW
26 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ FC Dallas
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ New York City FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs New England Revolution
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and St. Louis City.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St. Louis City 29%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City?
Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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