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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

New England Revolution v Orlando City SC: numbers & prediction

US Open Cup · USA · Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution

DWWWL
3–4
FT

Orlando City SC

LWLWD
New England Revolution 44%Draw 23%Orlando City SC 34% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.32
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNew England Revolution to win ✗44% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 30 April the US Open Cup brings New England Revolution against Orlando City SC at Gillette Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.

Current form

New England Revolution, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Inter Miami, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Orlando City SC, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to DC United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Orlando City SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.6 xG, Orlando City SC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 44%, draw 23%, Orlando City SC 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Orlando City SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New England Revolution44%fair 2.29 · @2.14
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.55
Orlando City SC34%fair 2.98 · @2.95
2.92Expected goals
1.60New England Revolution xG
1.32Orlando City SC xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.6 – 1.3 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew England Revolution to win ✗44%2.292.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.57
Draw no betNew England Revolution (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapOrlando City SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.511.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreNew England Revolution to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

New England Revolution – last 6

DWWWLW
26 Apr@ Inter Miami1–1D
23 Apr@ Atlanta United FC2–1W
19 Aprvs Columbus Crew2–1W
12 Aprvs DC United1–0W
22 Mar@ St. Louis City1–3L
15 Marvs FC Cincinnati6–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Orlando City SC – last 6

LWLWDL
26 Apr@ DC United2–3L
23 Aprvs Charlotte4–1W
19 Aprvs Houston Dynamo0–1L
16 Apr@ Naples1–0W
13 Apr@ Columbus Crew1–1D
5 Apr@ Los Angeles FC0–6L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Orlando City SC.

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC head-to-head page →

More US Open Cup predictions

League hub
FT New York Red Bulls1 New York City FC3 140%2.20X25%3.60236%2.80 1.8–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Columbus Crew4 One Knoxville1 165%1.29X21%4.80214%9.20 2.2–1.1xG 1Columbus Crew to win 65%@1.29 ✓
FT Chicago Fire1 St. Louis City2 149%1.94X22%3.60229%3.35 1.8–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Houston Dynamo1 Louisville City1 AET 2–1 150%1.68X25%3.70225%4.50 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
– Colorado Rapids1 Colorado Springs1 Pens 4–4 148%1.73X25%3.80226%4.00 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

On our numbers New England Revolution have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orlando City SC 34%.

How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.