New York Red Bulls 40%Draw 25%New York City FC 36%Expected goals 1.83 – 1.73
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York Red Bulls welcome New York City FC to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a US Open Cup fixture on Thursday 30 April (00:00 WAT).
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Cincinnati, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
New York City FC, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with FC Cincinnati, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.8 xG, New York City FC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 40%, draw 25%, New York City FC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls40%fair 2.52 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
New York City FC36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
3.56Expected goals
1.83New York Red Bulls xG
1.73New York City FC xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.8 – 1.7 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✗
40%
2.52
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.53
Draw no bet
New York Red Bulls (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
New York City FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
New York Red Bulls to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LDWDWL
26 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs DC United
4–4
D
16 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–2
W
22 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–6
L
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
DLWLDW
23 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–4
D
19 Apr
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Westchester SC
5–2
W
12 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New York City FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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