Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Houston Dynamo v Louisville City in the US Open Cup, played at Shell Energy Stadium.
Current form
Houston Dynamo, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Austin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Louisville City, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fort Wayne, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Houston Dynamo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 1.4 xG, Louisville City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 50%, draw 25%, Louisville City 25%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Houston Dynamo50%fair 2.02 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.70
Louisville City25%fair 3.96 · @4.50
2.62Expected goals
1.45Houston Dynamo xG
1.17Louisville City xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.4 – 1.2 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dynamo to win✗
50%
2.02
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Houston Dynamo (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Louisville City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Houston Dynamo to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Houston Dynamo – last 6
LWWWLL
26 Apr
@ Austin
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs San Diego
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Orlando City SC
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs El Paso Locomotive
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
2–6
L
5 Apr
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 6
WWDWWW
26 Apr
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Austin
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Loudoun United
3–3
D
2 Apr
@ Lexington
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Southern Indiana
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dynamo and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Louisville City 25%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?
Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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