Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.29Odds
Picks by market
ResultMekelle Kenema to win ✗35% · @2.50
Double chanceMekelle Kenema or draw ✓68% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the Premier League brings Hadiya Hosaena against Mekelle Kenema. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Negelle Arsi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mekelle Kenema, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hadiya Hosaena 0.9 xG, Mekelle Kenema 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hadiya Hosaena 32%, draw 33%, Mekelle Kenema 35%.
Lower-risk option: Mekelle Kenema or draw (68%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mekelle Kenema or draw (68%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Mekelle Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hadiya Hosaena32%fair 3.12 · @3.25
Draw33%fair 3.00 · @2.38
Mekelle Kenema35%fair 2.90 · @2.50
1.78Expected goals
0.91Hadiya Hosaena xG
0.87Mekelle Kenema xG
47%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Hadiya Hosaena 0.9 – 0.9 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelle Kenema to win✗
35%
2.90
2.50
Double chance
Mekelle Kenema or draw✓
68%
1.47
1.29
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.36
Draw no bet
Mekelle Kenema (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Mekelle Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Hadiya Hosaena to score first
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.83
–
Recent results
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
DDWLLD
19 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
14 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mekelle Kenema – last 6
WLDLLD
13 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Awassa Kenema
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelle Kenema.
What is the prediction for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our pick is Mekelle Kenema or draw with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?
On our numbers Hadiya Hosaena have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Mekelle Kenema 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our predicted score is Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?
Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema0