Ethiopia Bunna v Welwalo Adigrat Uni Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗42% · @2.20

Double chanceEthiopia Bunna or draw ✗72% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.75

Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Welwalo Adigrat Uni travel to face Ethiopia Bunna on Thursday 30 April in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ethiopia Bunna are 14th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Welwalo Adigrat Uni are 17th (in the drop zone) with 1. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kedus Giorgis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mekelle Kenema, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 xG, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 42%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 28%.
Lower-risk option: Ethiopia Bunna or draw (72%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ethiopia Bunna or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ethiopia Bunna42%fair 2.40 · @2.20

Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.50

Welwalo Adigrat Uni28%fair 3.57 · @3.40

2.08Expected goals

1.18Ethiopia Bunna xG

0.90Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG

51%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

1–113%

0–012%

0–111%

2–09%

2–18%

From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 – 0.9 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ethiopia Bunna to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.20
Double chance	Ethiopia Bunna or draw ✗	72%	1.39	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	2.20 ▲
Draw no bet	Ethiopia Bunna (draw no bet) ✗	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Welwalo Adigrat Uni +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	62%	1.63	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Ethiopia Bunna to score first	50%	2.01	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ethiopia Bunna / FT Ethiopia Bunna ✗	24%	4.13	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.75	–

Ethiopia Bunna – last 6

WDDDLW

26 Apr	@ Kedus Giorgis	3–1	W
19 Apr	vs Arba Minch Kenema	1–1	D
14 Apr	@ Hadiya Hosaena	2–2	D
8 Apr	vs Sheger Ketema	1–1	D
8 Mar	@ Mebrat Hayl	1–2	L
4 Mar	vs Bahardar	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6

LLDDWW

13 Apr	@ Mekelle Kenema	1–2	L
9 Apr	vs Welayta Dicha	0–1	L
5 Apr	@ Awassa Kenema	2–2	D
8 Mar	@ Mekelakeya	0–0	D
3 Mar	vs Suhul Shire	1–0	W
27 Feb	@ Fasil Ketema	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Negelle Arsi	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Mekelakeya	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Welayta Dicha	5	2	2	1	+6	8
4	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	5	2	2	1	0	8
5	Halaba Ketema	5	2	2	1	-4	8
6	Ethiopian Medhin	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Bahardar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Mebrat Hayl	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Kedus Giorgis	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Adama Kenema	5	1	3	1	0	6
11	Awassa Kenema	4	1	2	1	0	5
12	Sheger Ketema	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Hadiya Hosaena	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Ethiopia Bunna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Fasil Ketema	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Sidama Bunna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Gamo Chencha	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Team

Pts

-4

-1

-1

-4

-1

-1

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our pick is Ethiopia Bunna or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 28%.

How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ethiopia Bunna v Welwalo Adigrat Uni: numbers & prediction