Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arba Minch Kenema welcome Ethiopia Nigd Bank for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 30 April (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ethiopia Bunna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sidama Bunna, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arba Minch Kenema 1.2 xG, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arba Minch Kenema 33%, draw 30%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arba Minch Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arba Minch Kenema33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.50
Ethiopia Nigd Bank37%fair 2.71 · @2.50
2.33Expected goals
1.16Arba Minch Kenema xG
1.16Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 1.2 – 1.2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win✗
37%
2.71
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.44
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Arba Minch Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia Nigd Bank / FT Ethiopia Nigd Bank✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.00
–
Recent results
Arba Minch Kenema – last 6
DDLWWL
19 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Adama Kenema
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Mebrat Hayl
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 6
LWDWLL
14 Apr
vs Sidama Bunna
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Mekelle Kenema
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Suhul Shire
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arba Minch Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema1