Value bet: Sheger Ketema to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSidama Bunna to win ✗35% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓68% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Sheger Ketema v Sidama Bunna in the Premier League. In the table, Sheger Ketema are 12th, lower half, on 5 points after 5 matches; Sidama Bunna are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Sheger Ketema, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Awassa Kenema, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sidama Bunna, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ethiopian Medhin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sidama Bunna, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Sheger Ketema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheger Ketema 0.9 xG, Sidama Bunna 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheger Ketema 33%, draw 32%, Sidama Bunna 35%.
Price worth noting: Sheger Ketema to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (54%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheger Ketema 1–1 Sidama Bunna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheger Ketema33%fair 2.99 · @3.35
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @2.65
Sidama Bunna35%fair 2.86 · @2.25
1.74Expected goals
0.92Sheger Ketema xG
0.82Sidama Bunna xG
38%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.9 – 0.8 Sidama Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sidama Bunna to win✗
35%
2.86
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
–
Draw no bet
Sidama Bunna (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Sidama Bunna +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Sheger Ketema to score first✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.92
–
Recent results
Sheger Ketema – last 6
DDWDDL
4 May
@ Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sidama Bunna – last 6
LDWWLW
6 May
vs Ethiopian Medhin
0–1
L
1 May
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Mekelakeya
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Suhul Shire
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Sidama Bunna.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sidama Bunna 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 1–1 Sidama Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema2