Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Welayta Dicha to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✓41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Welayta Dicha travel to face Arba Minch Kenema on Sunday 10 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mekelle Kenema, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Welayta Dicha, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hadiya Hosaena, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arba Minch Kenema 0.9 xG, Welayta Dicha 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arba Minch Kenema 31%, draw 28%, Welayta Dicha 41%.
Price worth noting: Welayta Dicha to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arba Minch Kenema 0–1 Welayta Dicha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arba Minch Kenema31%fair 3.25 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.75
Welayta Dicha41%fair 2.43 · @2.60
2.15Expected goals
0.94Arba Minch Kenema xG
1.22Welayta Dicha xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 0.9 – 1.2 Welayta Dicha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win✓
41%
2.43
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Welayta Dicha (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Arba Minch Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Welayta Dicha to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.07
–
Recent results
Arba Minch Kenema – last 6
WDDDLW
5 May
@ Mekelle Kenema
2–0
W
30 Apr
vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Welayta Dicha – last 6
WDWLWD
4 May
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Suhul Shire
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arba Minch Kenema and Welayta Dicha.
What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Welayta Dicha 41%.
How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 0–1 Welayta Dicha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welayta Dicha (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
