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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bahardar v Welwalo Adigrat Uni: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–0
FT
Bahardar 46%Draw 29%Welwalo Adigrat Uni 25% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.78
75%
Betarazi pick

Bahardar or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBahardar to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceBahardar or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15

Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bahardar welcome Welwalo Adigrat Uni for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 10 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Bahardar are 7th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Welwalo Adigrat Uni are 17th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Current form

Bahardar, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fasil Ketema, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Negelle Arsi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bahardar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bahardar 1.3 xG, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bahardar 46%, draw 29%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bahardar or draw (75%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bahardar or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahardar 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bahardar46%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.62
Welwalo Adigrat Uni25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
2.06Expected goals
1.28Bahardar xG
0.78Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Bahardar 1.3 – 0.8 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBahardar to win ✗46%2.152.15
Double chanceBahardar or draw ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.57
Draw no betBahardar (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapWelwalo Adigrat Uni +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreBahardar to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bahardar / FT Bahardar ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.15–

Recent results

Bahardar – last 6

WDLDWD
6 May@ Fasil Ketema2–0W
1 Mayvs Suhul Shire1–1D
20 Aprvs Sheger Ketema0–2L
15 Apr@ Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
10 Aprvs Adama Kenema2–1W
3 Apr@ Mebrat Hayl0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6

LWLLDD
6 Mayvs Negelle Arsi1–2L
30 Apr@ Ethiopia Bunna4–2W
13 Apr@ Mekelle Kenema1–2L
9 Aprvs Welayta Dicha0–1L
5 Apr@ Awassa Kenema2–2D
8 Mar@ Mekelakeya0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bahardar and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our pick is Bahardar or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

On our numbers Bahardar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 25%.

How many goals will there be in Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our predicted score is Bahardar 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.