Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.25
Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mebrat Hayl welcome Fasil Ketema for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 10 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Mebrat Hayl are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 5 matches; Fasil Ketema are 15th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Suhul Shire, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Fasil Ketema, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bahardar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fasil Ketema, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Mebrat Hayl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mebrat Hayl 0.8 xG, Fasil Ketema 0.6 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 83% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mebrat Hayl 35%, draw 35%, Fasil Ketema 30%.
Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (70%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mebrat Hayl or draw (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Fasil Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mebrat Hayl35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
Draw35%fair 2.87 · @2.38
Fasil Ketema30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
1.40Expected goals
0.78Mebrat Hayl xG
0.63Fasil Ketema xG
41%Both score
17%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–025%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.8 – 0.6 Fasil Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mebrat Hayl to win
35%
2.82
2.70
Double chance
Mebrat Hayl or draw
70%
1.42
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.44
Draw no bet
Mebrat Hayl (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Fasil Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Mebrat Hayl to score first
42%
2.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
19%
5.25
–
Recent results
Mebrat Hayl – last 6
LLDWLD
5 May
@ Suhul Shire
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Mekelakeya
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fasil Ketema – last 6
LDWWDD
6 May
vs Bahardar
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Fasil Ketema.
What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?
Our pick is Mebrat Hayl or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?
On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Fasil Ketema 30%.
How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?
Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Fasil Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?
Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema2